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NFL
Football Betting Tips & Strategy
10
Steps to Better Football Betting
1.
Initial NFL Picks
As early in the week as possible, make a list of the coming games and
make your selections. Go with your best guess, gut feeling, or whatever.
Skip the games about which you are unsure. In making NFL picks, whether
you are an expert or someone who just likes to watch a game now and
then, your first decision is often best.
2.
The Undecideds
Go back and mark those NFL picks you are not sure about with a question
mark. With fewer decisions remaining, the focus on these games is increased.
3.
Pondering
Tuck your list into a convenient pocket and carry it with you. Look
it over several times a day. A minute or two twice a day is far more
helpful than an hour of study.
4.
Gather Information
Read newspapers. If you come to know a given sports writer, you will
be able to pick up on the difference between his facts and opinions,
and on any bias present. And some publish their NFL picks. There are
some shows on TV that may help. Your best bet may be the web. Sites
such as CNN, CBS, and Nando.Net are very informative. What others have
to say is particularly helpful in thinking about teams you do not follow
or do not know much about.
5.
Argue
Get into it about your undecided picks with a friend, or anyone interested.
Or argue with yourself! "The Bears will stomp Detroit." "No they won't.
Here's why." "How come I can't make a simple decision like this?" While
this may seem an odd or novel idea, it is a real winner. It dramatically
increases the focus on the undecided games. And the greater the focus,
the more likely your final pick will be the right one.
6.
The Line
If it drops, then heavy bucks have been placed on the underdog. If it
goes up, those bucks are going to the favorite. While public opinion
may mean little in many cases, this part of the public is backing their
opinion with dollars. If in doubt, you may want to go along.
7.
Decisions
Make decisions as possible. Every undecided you cross off the list leaves
one less pick to think about and increases the focus on those remaining.
As the list gets shorter, you can run down it mentally without even
looking at it.
8.
Avoid Changes
Be hesitant to change any decision already made; more often than not
it will be a loser. This seems particularly true in making NFL picks.
9.
Put It Off
Make final decisions on the remaining undecided picks as late in the
week as possible. The greater the time between your initial consideration
and final decision, the greater the focus, and the better the pick.
A Note: There are lots of explanations as to why the idea of increasing
focus works. Many great minds have considered unconscious thinking,
instinct, intuition, and related concepts. And many have done so at
considerable length. While not all agree about how it works, most agree
that anything that brings a greater focus on a decision, increases the
chance the final choice will be the best available.
10.
Once you've made your picks, be sure to bet online with a sportsbook you
can trust ... Click
here for the most-respected football betting on the internet!
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NFL QUICK TIPS |
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Tip
#1
If a team has scored 20 points or less in each of its last three
games, they are likely to cover the spread in the fourth.
Tip #2
If a team has scored over 90 points in the last three games, they
may let down in the fourth. Since the line will likely be too high,
they may not beat the spread, even if they win the game.
Tip #3
If a team is two or more games ahead in their division, they may
tend to become overconfident. Or a coach may want to rest key players.
Tip #4
After a big win in which an opponent was thoroughly whipped, a team
may let down a bit. They may win the game, but not beat the spread.
Tip #5
After an embarrassing loss, assuming it is the first one of the
season, expect a team to come back and beat the spread, if not win
the game. This is particularly true if they were shut out.
Tip #6
If two teams played earlier in the season and the score was close,
the loser of the first game is likely to win this one. However,
if one team whipped the other, they are likely to win again.
Tip #7
When all else fails, take the underdog. Favorites tend to be overplayed.
So when you see nothing better to do, take the underdog and the
points.
Tip #8
If you are betting for real on individual games and want to take
the favorite, do so early in the week. If the line changes, the
chances are good that it will be because of more bucks coming in
on the favorite. And conversely; if you want to take the underdog,
do so later in the week; the favorite may have been considerably
overplayed by then.
Click
Here for the Best
Online Football Betting
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